Any More Snow?

11:04 am in Forecast Discussion by Ted Keller

The next few systems seem to want to “warm” a bit more than the last few which means more rain or other winter precipitation may need to be included in the forecast.

Friday through Sunday look unsettled with various chances for precipitation.  One model looks much warmer than the other and there are differences in timing too.  If you believe one model (GFS), we will have snow on Friday while the other model (NAM) ignores this and waits and warms the precipitation through the weekend.  The last four GFS runs have consistently shown snow with possible rain south and I can’t think of a reason to disagree at this time.

The weekend depends very much on whether a “wave” or low pressure center develops near us.  If it does, then we can expected a warmer pattern with better chances for rain.  If not, we’ll likely stay with mixed precipitation.

It still looks like the storms will remain active for the next several week.  California seems to be targeted again with one storm after another which means more heavy rain and snow.

It “seems” like these storms will take a more northerly track which means less chances for winter precipitation but the details at this distance anyway are not reliable.