Heading Out on a Chase
10:44 am in Forecast Discussion, Storm Chase Discussion, Storm Chasing by Ted Keller
It does looking increasingly likely that I will be heading out on a storm chase Saturday. Target area from this vantage point would be western Kansas northward into extreme southern South Dakota. Now, this event is 84 hours out to I expect to adjust this area several times of course.
The overall set up is a large trough in the western U.S. this weekend and an abundance of moisture and instability. Most of the impressive instability will likely be capped over much of the Great Plains. All hinges on whether the jet stream can infringe enough eastward into the instability. Shortwave features will play a role in dryline maintenance and movement. The flow is a bit meridional too but this may be resolved somewhat by as yet unseen shortwave features.
Many of you know I am offering opportunities to storm chase in a short-fuse, weekend type situation. Please look on the Ceaseless Wind website if you are interested! If you have a desire to do this but are unsure of some things, e-mail me ted@ceaselesswind.com and we can talk about it in private.
Also, don’t forget about “Upstream”, my live web show at 6:30 tonight and every weeknight. We will likely have ongoing severe storms to discuss in Oklahoma and I will also be updating the weekend chase situation as well.