Ceaseless Wind

For Sunday, our best bet would likely be along the northwest nose of a tongue of higher moisture and instability coming from the southeast into Colorado.  The placement of the western end of a cool front will have to monitored carefully.  Surface winds will be backed and deep shear sufficient for storms.  One drawback will be a strong cap in some locations or one which will strengthen quickly after dark.  I still like Lamar, CO as a starting point.

Monday and Tuesday are quite interesting.  Experience has shown that this type of pattern where a strong, nearly zonal jet stream flow is just north of unstable air suggests that storms cells will initiate in a narrow zone between a strong cap and favorable shear during the late afternoon and early evening and then become nocturnal MCS’s traveling ESE overnight.

Wednesday and Thursday have been all over the board.  Some model runs have really amplified a ridge over the western plains.  The 00Z run of the GFS tonight is quite a bit more optimistic in digging the trough coming ashore out west more to the south.  This remains a mystery and of course the handling of troughs coming off of the Pacific into the western U.S. is always a crap shoot.  We, of course, remain hopeful!

Annette from Artbeats made it to Utah last night.  We will be giving her an update on the road on Saturday.

The final preparations for streaming through Severe Studios were made today.  I spent quite some time at Radio Shack on Friday buying adaptors to make my duel-band external antenna plug into my recently-acquired Sprint USB modem card.

More updates later on!