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Earl Will Steer Close to the U.S.

Forecast Track for Earl

Cape Hatteras “sticks out” into the Atlantic.  For this reason, it catches the curve of many a tropical storm or hurricane.  Earl may be the next one!

Earl became a minimal hurricane early today.  It is on a path which takes it on the northern edge of the Leeward and Virgin Islands.

Earl is forecast to become a major hurricane by Tuesday with a borderline category 2/3 rating on the Safir-Simpson scale (below)

This storm is following a very typical track for late August hurricanes.  The included map shows the climatology of August storms including frequency and favored paths.

Radar Loop of Earl

 

Saffir-Simpson Scale
Saffir-Simpson
Category
Maximum sustained wind speed
mph m/s kts
1 74-95 33-42 64-82
2 96-110 43-49 83-95
3 111-130 50-58 96-113
4 131-155 59-69 114-135
5 156+ 70+ 136+
August Hurricane Climatology

August Hurricane Climatology

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