NHC Update Monday 8/30/2010
Danielle is weakening, Earl is up and coming and there might be a Fiona in our future!
Once category four hurricane Danielle is accelerating to the north and northeast now, far away from land. This storm will continue to weaken and lose its tropical storm characteristics and the jet stream grabs it and sends it over much cooler waters.
Meanwhile, Hurricane Earl is hitting Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward Islands with heavy rain bands and squalls. The storm is passing close enough to Puerto Rico for the eye to be seen on the National Weather Service radar located on the island. You can get a link to this radar plus a great tracking map and more on the tropics page on this website.
There is of course some speculation on how close Earl will come to the mainland U.S. Hurricanes are steered by the broad wind field they are embedded. However, stronger storms actually help to modify the wind field and buck its tendencies a touch. Also, there are still uncertainties as to what disturbances over the central U.S. will do. My gut feeling on all of this? A more westerly track but whether its enough to threaten the coast significantly remains to be seen.
Puerto Rico Radar from Monday AM
The North Carolina coast up to New England will be watching Earl carefully over the next four days for sure!Another wave is showing signs of development eastward from Earl and has a high probability of organization over the next few days. The next name on the list is “Fiona”. Like Earl, this storm will take a more westerly and southerly track if it continues to develop and will likely be subjected to the same curvature only sooner meaning it would probably be less of a threat to the mainland U.S But could give the northern Leeward Islands another hit. Cooler waters in the wake of Earl might weaken this storm a tad.
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