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Greene County in Severe Thunderstorm Warning

4:14 pm in Uncategorized by Ted Keller

Radar at 4:08 p.m. 10/1/09
Radar at 4:08 p.m. 10/1/09

This complex of rain and thunder will be in the metro area between now and 5:15.  Expect some severe wind gusts and small hail.  It is having some trouble holding together as a supercell but it will be watched carefully.

Weather watch soon

1:59 pm in Forecast Discussion, Uncategorized by Ted Keller

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/

Rainfall Forecast for Tonight

11:03 am in Uncategorized by Ted Keller

Rainfall Forecast for Thursday Night
Rainfall Forecast for Thursday Night

The “wet” front will tap into the increased humidity of today to produce decent rainfall totals over the western portion of MIssouri this afternoon and tonight. Areas west of a line from Lake of the Ozarks to Eureka Springs can expect anywhere from .50 to 1″ with local amounts higher in isolated storms.  Widespread severe weather is not expected with these storms.

The “cool” front is forecast to arrive on Saturday, ensuring that August and summer 2009 end on a cool note.

Cool August

5:52 pm in Uncategorized by Ted Keller

24f20

Next Cool Push

This month has recorded six ninety-degree days with the warmest 95 back on the 8th. 

But the vast majority of the days have been below normal. We’ve had five fifty degree mornings with more coming to close out the month which ends Monday night.  In fact, Monday morning might just produce lows in the forties in the Ozarks!  The current forecast low for Monday morning is 51 and the record for this morning is 48.

Speaking of ending the month, I plugged in the current forecast through the 31st and ran the average temperature with a result of 73.9.  This would just miss getting onto the top ten coolest August list.  The number ten slot is August of 1904 at 73.8 degrees.
Table courtesy National Weather Service.

Coldest August Report – Springfield, MO
Temperature
Year
68.8 1915
70.5 1950
70.5 1927
71.1 1992
72.3 1967
72.5 2004
72.5 1920
72.8 1917
73.0 1931
73.8 1904

 

Tropical Storm Danny

11:11 am in Uncategorized by Ted Keller

Track for T.S. "Danny"

Track for T.S. "Danny"

The area of disturbed weather being tracked north of the Carribbean Islands has gone directly to tropical storm status this morning.  “Danny” has winds estimated at 45 mph.  The National Hurricane Center expects Danny to become a hurricane while off the coast of North Carolina sometime during the early morning hours of Saturday. 

It’s track is more westward than its powerful predecessor “Bill” and may threaten the coastal New England area Saturday night

Some Severe Storms Still Possible

2:01 am in Uncategorized by Ted Keller

Severe Threat Area

Severe Threat Area

There is still a threat for severe storms in the area outlined in blue for the next few hours.  A cold front will sweep into this region over the next several hours.  The storms which are in southeastern Kansas and northeastern Oklahoma still may kick up there heels as the wind fields look good and the front gives these storms a boost.  The tornado threat is remote but not zero in this area.

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